Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 178.532669 211.861714 252.654977 307.281637 380.167140 476.623682 6.186300e+02
2025-01-26 144.172209 186.370191 245.178373 337.296837 486.906460 740.057641 1.257994e+03
2025-02-02 131.305023 180.324027 255.469834 388.771983 645.875796 1201.425298 2.893075e+03
2025-02-09 112.647184 160.210434 237.370237 385.355414 705.979588 1539.573763 5.208603e+03
2025-02-16 100.769611 147.671088 227.603215 392.149486 790.866301 2052.506243 1.111101e+04
2025-02-23 91.619028 137.665529 219.502152 398.815382 881.090944 2750.608548 2.935558e+04
2025-03-02 84.849534 130.442408 214.684878 410.633864 996.264697 3851.729753 1.448217e+05
2025-03-09 78.538324 122.991925 207.786210 415.210270 1095.976019 5270.264560 6.058969e+06
2025-03-16 71.563631 113.382181 194.782548 400.539126 1120.051569 6361.059125 NaN
2025-03-23 68.418815 110.456410 195.030767 420.827650 1302.836649 10352.866565 NaN
2025-03-30 62.614582 101.787131 181.568828 399.024666 1286.300807 11898.824661 NaN
2025-04-06 59.413413 97.822164 177.847606 404.649495 1412.138337 18310.703739 NaN
2025-04-13 55.073609 91.628067 169.233066 396.516024 1484.216800 27434.774927 NaN
2025-04-20 53.964179 91.839496 175.632630 439.932608 1953.657518 126067.271527 NaN
2025-04-27 54.117838 94.635353 188.896817 515.712935 2934.078402 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 50.821218 89.663682 181.548032 510.627545 3191.829852 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 48.443356 86.422789 178.172476 520.747881 3702.665721 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 46.292178 83.443846 174.981852 530.707001 4310.698042 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 44.566093 81.231245 173.523887 548.436078 5227.558929 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 42.683194 78.467164 170.046055 555.325697 6070.790408 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 40.225101 74.159610 161.488992 533.287112 6122.011259 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 39.259284 73.246571 162.776079 563.801032 8098.230918 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 36.918854 68.895831 153.167863 531.020155 7663.116503 NaN NaN